http://www.washingtonpost.com/national/health-science/todays-drought-in-the-west-is-nothing-compared-to-what-may-be-coming/2015/02/12/0041646a-b2d9-11e4-854b-a38d13486ba1_story.html
NASA
scientists studied past droughts and climate models incorporating soil
moisture data to estimate future drought risk. According to NASA's
study, "droughts in the U.S. Southwest and Central Plains during the
last half of this century could be drier and longer than drought
conditions seen in those regions in the last 1,000 years." (NASA Goddard
via YouTube)
The
long and severe drought in the U.S. Southwest pales in comparison with
what’s coming: a “megadrought” that will grip that region and the
central Plains later this century and probably stay there for decades, a
new study says.
Thirty-five years from now, if the current pace
of climate change continues unabated, those areas of the country will
experience a weather shift that will linger for as long as three
decades, according to the study, released Thursday.
Researchers
from NASA and Cornell and Columbia universities warned of major water
shortages and conditions that dry out vegetation, which can lead to
monster wildfires in southern Arizona and parts of California.
“We
really need to start thinking in longer-term horizons about how we’re
going to manage it,” said Toby R. Ault, an assistant professor in the
department of Earth and atmospheric sciences at Cornell, one of the
co-authors. “This is a slow-moving natural hazard that humans are used
to dealing with and used to managing.”
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