Thursday, December 31, 2015

GOP: Polls show GOP losing support across the board and will lose in 2016

http://www.ifyouonlynews.com/politics/republicans-are-doomed-for-2016-poll-shows-gop-loses-support-across-the-board/

The Republicans should lose the elections in 2016.  We also know that the Republicans and the Koch Brothers/ Adelson as well as other Billionaires will be dumping Billions into getting a Republican to win.  We need to get out the vote of the average person.

Where they needed to gain was with Hispanics, women, and young people. As Reuters reports from a late-November poll, theRepublicans have lost ground across the board in those areas. The report gave a comparison of polls taken after the 2012 election and the 2015 numbers, showing a reality the Republicans may not come back from:
  • In 2012, Democrats made up 44.7 percent of party-affiliated likely voters, compared to 39.1 percent Republicans, a difference of about 6 percentage points, according to the analysis of 87,778 likely presidential voters polled leading up to the 2012 presidential election. The results have a credibility interval of plus or minus 0.3 percentage points.
  • Three years later, that lead had grown to nine points, 45.9 percent to 36.9 percent, according to the analysis of 93,181 likely presidential voters polled in 2015. The results in 2015 have the same credibility interval as 2012.
  • Among Hispanics who are likely presidential voters, the percentage affiliated with the Republican Party has slipped nearly five points, from 30.6 percent in 2012 to 26 percent in 2015. Meanwhile, Hispanic Democrats grew by six percentage points to 59.6 percent.
  • Among whites under 40, the shift is even more dramatic. In 2012, they were more likely to identify with the Republican Party by about 5 percentage points. In 2015, the advantage flipped: Young whites are now more likely to identify with the Democratic Party by about 8 percentage points.
  • Meanwhile, black likely voters remain overwhelmingly Democratic, at about 80 percent.

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