A couple of weeks ago, I noted that the all five of the Republican Party's assorted "fixes" fortheir plaintiff winning King v. Burwell have basically been given "junk" status by the American Academy of Actuaries...who aren't exactly known for sticking their noses into public policy debates. These guys are about the least-political, most level-headed bunch around, and they just took a giant dump on the GOP's half-baked KvB "fixes" only a few months after sending a pretty urgent open letter to HHS Secretary Sylvia Burwell in which they stressed that a King plaintiff win, without either Congress or the states taking action to resolve the issue, would likely resolve in massive rate hikes and disruption of the entire individual insurance market.
When I spread the word about their "GOP workarounds are worthless" analysis, I noted that, to paraphrase Lyndon Johnson's famous quote about Walter Cronkite and the Vietnam War (which itself, admittedly, may or may not actually have happened), "when you've lost the actuaries, you've lost middle America."
Anyway, today I'm using a modified litmus test: When not just a Republican, but Paul "Golden Boy" Ryan loses Chris Wallace and FOX News, I'd say they're in deep, deep trouble:
Representative Paul Ryan (R-WI) swore on Fox News Sunday that the GOP had a plan in place in case the Supreme Court eliminated the Affordable Care Act’s federal subsidies, potentially stripping health care from at least six million people. He declined to say anything about that plan, however, and faced questions from an increasingly skeptical Chris Wallace.
...But when Wallace asked if that solution would allow those millions to keep they’re subsidies, Ryan deflected. “Well, we will have a solution that addresses this law,” Ryan said. “We’ll have a solution for the people caught in this law, so that they’re not caught in the lurch.” In response to several followup questions about the specificities of the GOP response, Ryan said he wanted to wait until the Court ruled before he said anything.Wallace then challenged Ryan’s assertion that Obamacare was a “failed law,” noting it had insured 16 million people, covered swaths more with pre-existing conditions, and slowed the rise of health care costs, and noted the GOP had not proposed plans to replicate those successes.
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