http://www.dailykos.com/story/2014/07/30/1317666/-Megadrought-Huge-Surge-of-Pacific-Heat-Fails-to-Start-El-Nino-Heats-Planet-to-3-Warmest-Months?detail=facebook#
One hundred percent of California is in severe or worse drought. The
failure of this Kelvin wave to trigger a strong El Nino means that there
is no end in sight to this drought. The liklihood of drought worsening
across the southwestern U.S. has gone up because a strong El Nino would
likely bring rains from California to Texas. Instead of a warm tropical
Pacific pulling the jet stream down, warm water in the subtropics and
temperate zones has pushed north in the northern hemisphere. This
movement of heat will tend to move the jet stream poleward, leaving
California and the southwest in drought.
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